As 2024 approaches, Costa Rica braces itself for an unprecedented temperature spike, a phenomenon that has set the National Meteorological Institute (IMN) on high alert. This rise, ranging between 1 to 2 degrees Celsius, is expected to majorly impact the Central Pacific, North Pacific, and Central Valley regions, marking a significant climatic shift for the country.
Detailed Temperature Forecasts
The IMN’s detailed analysis projects January and February 2024 as the peak months for this heat wave. The North Pacific region, typically basking at 26.9 °C, is forecasted to climb to 28.4 °C. Meanwhile, the Central Pacific, usually at 26.7 °C, anticipates a rise to 28.2 °C. The South Pacific, generally cooler at 20.6 °C, expects a milder increase to 21.6 °C.
In the Central Valley, a region accustomed to 19 °C, temperatures are predicted to touch 20 °C. The Western North Zone and Northern Zone, with standard temperatures of 22.2 °C and 24.5 °C, respectively, are preparing for a surge to 23.2 °C and 25.5 °C.
Furthermore, the Northern Caribbean is gearing up for a rise from 24.2 °C to 25.2 °C, while the Southern Caribbean, typically at 23.8 °C, forecasts a jump to 24.8 °C.
The Culprit Behind the Surge
El Niño, at its intense phase, is identified as the primary driver behind this temperature escalation. This phenomenon, coupled with record-breaking warmer surface temperatures in the Atlantic Ocean and the Caribbean Sea, paints a concerning picture of the regional climate dynamics.
Global Context and National Implications
This local trend mirrors a global pattern, with Copernicus, the European observatory, predicting 2023 as potentially the hottest year on record. Costa Rica has not been immune to this trend, experiencing above-normal temperatures consistently from May to October in the past year.
Warning from Meteorological Experts
Experts caution that this temperature spike could lead to an unusually active forest fire season in 2024. The ongoing effects of El Niño since June, characterized by decreased rainfall and unpredictable weather patterns, further exacerbate this risk.
In conclusion, Costa Rica faces a critical climate challenge in early 2024. With temperature spikes across various regions and the looming threat of intensified forest fires, proactive measures and heightened awareness become imperative.
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