Week 4 Football Sports Betting Pick – San Francisco 49ers @ St. Louis Rams
Tale of the tape: San Francisco 49ers at St. Louis.
Tobs breaks down both sides with his betting tale of the tape:
Offense
The Niners offense has stalled to start the season, averaging just 14.7 points – 29th in the NFL. Injuries have depleted their once-potent offense, including a hamstring ailment for TE Vernon Davis. He’s questionable for Thursday but did return to practice this week. The Niners’ rushing attack has lost its teeth, with QB Colin Kaepernick and RB Frank Gore averaging only 101.7 yards on the ground. The Rams are coming off a 31-7 loss to the Dallas Cowboys in Week 3. St. Louis missed out on plenty of gains due to careless drops by its receiving corps. QB Sam Bradford, who hadn’t been sacked in the first two games, was sacked six times and knocked down numerous others. The rushing attack is limping out for only 57 yards an outing, behind RB Daryl Richardson.
Edge: San Francisco
Defense
St. Louis has been a cupcake on defense, giving up 28.7 points per game – 27th in the NFL. The Rams biggest issue is their passing defense, which is allowing 288 yards through the air. However, they were bulldozed by Dallas RB DeMarco Murray for 175 yards last week. In their last meeting, San Francisco rushed for 148 yards versus the Rams.The Niners defense is also a broken unit, with Aldon Smith in rehab, Patrick Willis nursing a groin injury and Justin Smith slowed by a bum shoulder. San Francisco budged for 179 yards rushing in a loss to the Colts last weekend and 172 yards in Week 2’s defeat to the Seahawks. The 49ers do ranked eighth versus the pass – 199 yards per game – which is pretty good considering they’ve faced Aaron Rodgers, Russell Wilson and Andrew Luck.
Edge: San Francisco
Special teams
With two teams struggling to find the end zone, field goals could determine Thursday’s game. San Francisco kicker Phil Dawson is 4 for 5 on FG attempts, missing a 40-plus yarder. St. Louis kicker Greg Zuerlein is a perfect 5 for 5, connecting on his lone 40-plus yard attempt. The Rams kick returner Benny Cunningham is averaging 23.4 yards per kickoff return but St. Louis is picking up just 3.3 yards per punt return. St. Louis had a return TD burned by penalties last Sunday. The 49ers’ Perrish Cox is picking up 27.3 yards per kick return and Kyle Williams is averaging only 5.5 yards per punt return. San Francisco punter Andy Lee has been busy, punting 16 times this season for 46.1 yards per punt. Rams punter Johnny Hekker is second in the NFC, averaging 48.8 yards on 14 punts this season.
Edge: Draw
I favor San Francisco on the Moneyline for a sure winner. Tease it all you want to an.open spot for the weekend.
Tobs
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